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The initial UKIP MP, Tory defector Douglas Carswell, believes his have 2014 victory in Clacton, Essex, was the “to start with straw in the wind” of voter disenchantment that later introduced Brexit, the autumn of Labour’s “crimson wall” seats in the Midlands and north to the Tories in 2019, and perhaps this 7 days’s Labour’s landslide